Probability: Tricky Questions Solved (13)

easy 2 min read

Question

Two dice are thrown. Given that the sum is 77, find the probability that one of them shows 22.

Solution — Step by Step

Pairs (a,b)(a,b) where a+b=7a+b = 7: (1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)(1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1). Total = 66 outcomes.

We want at least one die showing 22. Among the six outcomes, (2,5)(2,5) and (5,2)(5,2) satisfy this. Two favourable outcomes.

P(one die =2sum=7)=26=13P(\text{one die } = 2 \mid \text{sum} = 7) = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}

The required probability is 13\dfrac{1}{3}.

Why This Works

Conditional probability restricts the sample space. Once we condition on “sum is 77”, we’re no longer working with all 3636 pairs but only the six pairs that sum to 77. Within this restricted set, count the favourable cases as a fraction.

The formula P(AB)=P(AB)/P(B)P(A|B) = P(A\cap B)/P(B) also works: P(AB)=2/36P(A\cap B) = 2/36, P(B)=6/36P(B) = 6/36, ratio =1/3= 1/3. Same answer.

Alternative Method

Use the formal formula. P(AB)=P(A\cap B) = probability of (one die = 2 AND sum = 7) =2/36= 2/36. P(B)=6/36P(B) = 6/36. Ratio =1/3= 1/3.

In dice problems, the dice are distinguishable. Always count (2,5)(2,5) and (5,2)(5,2) as separate outcomes unless the problem says otherwise. This is where most errors creep in.

Common Mistake

Computing P(sum 7 AND one die =2)/P(sum 7)P(\text{sum 7 AND one die }=2)/P(\text{sum 7}) but forgetting to count both (2,5)(2,5) and (5,2)(5,2). Students often answer 1/61/6. JEE Main 2023 had this exact problem with sum =8= 8 and one die =3= 3 — same trap.

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